By Michele Gragnolati, Ole Hagen Jorgensen, Romero Rocha, Anna Fruttero

Brazil is in the course of a profound socioeconomic transformation pushed via demographic swap. due to profound adjustments in mortality and, specially, fertility over the last 4 many years the inhabitants at older a long time then began to extend, a development that might develop into extra and extra quick as time progresses. whereas it took greater than a century for France’s inhabitants, elderly sixty five and above, to extend from 7 to fourteen percentage of the entire inhabitants, an analogous demographic swap will take place within the subsequent twenty years in Brazil (between 2011 and 2031). The aged populations may be greater than triple in the subsequent 4 many years, from under 20 million in 2010 to nearly sixty five million in 2050. at the one aspect, those shifts in inhabitants age constitution will result in large extra financial pressures on publicly financed health and wellbeing care and pensions, besides titanic rate reductions in monetary pressures for publicly financed schooling. Public transfers in Brazil were very powerful in decreasing poverty between the aged in either city and rural components. despite the fact that, with out massive adjustments, the getting older of the inhabitants will placed a pressure at the present process that might bring about a few severe trade-offs with end result for poverty between different susceptible teams and for the expansion clients of the rustic. One the opposite facet, given the robust organization among people’s financial habit and the existence cycle, alterations in the inhabitants age constitution have a tremendous influence on monetary improvement. This e-book investigates the effect of demographic adjustments on a number of dimensions of the Brazilian economic climate and society. It does so in a entire and systematic means that captures the huge complexity of matters, from fiscal progress to poverty, from public financing of social prone and transfers to mark downs, from employment to overall healthiness and long term care, and their interrelations.

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Additional info for Growing Old in an Older Brazil: Implications of Population Aging on Growth, Poverty, Public Finance and Service Delivery

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593 was close to the historical average) prevented faster poverty alleviation. 544 and the per capita income of the poorest 10 percent grew by 8 percent, almost three times faster than the national average (Barros et al. 2006). The government’s cash transfer programs and minimum wage policy account for a high share of the reduction in poverty and inequality. In 2008 the percentage of the population living in poverty represented was only a third of the estimate for 2001. Studies based on counterfactual analysis reveal that 48 percent of the decline in income inequality between 2001 and 2005 was due to the development of cash transfer programs (mainly the Bolsa Família program) and to further expansion of the non-contributory pension system (Barros et al.

Decisions they make over their entire adult life will be framed by the social and economic institutions, actual and expected, that influence economic security in old age. In addition, political realities typically impose a long transition period until a new regulatory framework is fully implemented. The longer a reform is postponed, the greater the need for it, and the more drastic it will have to be. 3. As more resources per student become available, it is important that they be used to improve the effectiveness of the education system.

In Europe, the United States, and Latin America and the Caribbean, the pattern observed is of 30 Growing Old in an Older Brazil net “downward transfers”—from the elderly to their children and grandchildren. These downward transfers are particularly large in Brazil and Uruguay, where the elderly receive significant transfers from public pensions and pass some of these funds to their children and grandchildren. However, as described earlier, public transfers to the elderly have a limited impact on poverty among the young, in large part the result of living arrangements in Brazilian households.

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